IIFT Daily Note with Peter Brown & David McWilliams

‘Tis the season to be cautious….

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:42 am  |  Topic:
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Good Morning All,

 

As you may already know, Peter has taken his holidays for the next two weeks and traditionally he misses out on some wild moves. Last time Peter was away was March and last week we had the largest sell off in US Equities since March. This Continue Reading →

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David’s Daily Note – A BRIC Breakdown

Posted by:  |  Time: 10:50 am  |  Topic:
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Daily Note – A BRIC Breakdown

BRICS_heads_of_state_and_government_hold_hands_ahead_of_the_2014_G-20_summit_in_Brisbane,_Australia_(Agencia_Brasil)Summary

  • Managing Emerging Markets
  • United States: Initial Claims plunge
  • United Kingdome: Brightening picture for Brits

Good morning, back from London this morning to Croatia.

Spent some time in Knightsbridge yesterday, my God the 1% are very rich indeed. They have been Continue Reading →

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Earnings and commodities

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:37 am  |  Topic:
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Commentary:

Weak earnings from Caterpillar, 3M and American Express kept the tone on market negative yesterday. As we lurch through the results season the market has adopted a negative tone overall and we have lost a great deal of the Greek deal rally. Any good figures are now associated with Continue Reading →

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David’s Daily Note

Posted by:  |  Time: 10:59 am  |  Topic:
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Daily Note – Market Mood Swings

2014-05-30-5OPGLbUSummary

  • Greetings from a busy London
  • Earnings Season sparks investor mood swings

 

Good morning from London,

The City is a hive of activity this morning, offering perhaps the best insight into why the Bank of England is Continue Reading →

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Market re-settles

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:27 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 1
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Commentary:

The market will still be focused in on earnings. Yesterday we stabilised and the market bounced a little. Without any big news we may find the market trades in and around these levels for a few weeks. We might have a quiet August.

The levels we are using below Continue Reading →

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David’s Daily Note – A Barbarous Relic

Posted by:  |  Time: 11:50 am  |  Topic:
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Daily Note – A Barbarous Relic

article-2247578-167F9E1E000005DC-624_634x394Summary

  • Gold takes a beating
  • No surprises expected from FOMC
  • Australia: Scope for further rate cuts

 

Good morning,

Two bastions of safety around which the people rally in times of fear and panic have hit the headlines this week. The Continue Reading →

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Earnings upset – big time.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:49 am  |  Topic:
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Commentary:

Apologies, a bad call on yesterday’s blog, I moved the market to calm when the market was poised to profit take. Missed that one big time I’m afraid. The market sold off all day without a bounce, helped also by bad results from IBM and United Technologies, in fact Continue Reading →

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David’s Daily Note – Bank of England edging closer

Posted by:  |  Time: 10:56 am  |  Topic:
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Daily Note – Bank of England edging closer

3fc4ffc9-0024-4ace-b122-750cbe5897f0Summary

  • Finally, British workers get a raise!
  • United States: Housing to the fore

Good morning,

After a prolonged period of broadly neutral UK activity data through the early part of 2015 and equally neutral MPC communications in the run-up Continue Reading →

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Seriously calm market

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:31 am  |  Topic:
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Commentary:

I am moving the call on all markets this morning to calm. That means a 25-30 point winner is good. This market is so calm and defined it is a long time since we were like this. Unless we discover a big story we are set to trade in Continue Reading →

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David’s Daily Note

Posted by:  |  Time: 11:01 am  |  Topic:
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Daily Note -

Pure-Imagination-400x247Summary

  • Equities rally to same old song and dance
  • Political Markets
  • The Great Greek Depression

Good morning,

We all know the story. Markets go down on short term risk off events like Greek (or peripheral European or US or China or Continue Reading →

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Gold has lost it’s shine.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:34 am  |  Topic:
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Commentary:

We are in the middle of earnings season and this week 100 of the S&P 500 companies report along with many other from different indices. We expect a bit of choppy trading with some results impressing and some not so good. Overall we still like the market.

Europe is Continue Reading →

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A settled market

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:34 am  |  Topic:
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Commentary:

Not a lot to say here really, market very calm and defined. Nothing of note on the calendar today so more of the same really. Yesterday both Draghi and Yellen were pretty dovish, yes Janet wants to raise rates but in reality it will be small if at all. Continue Reading →

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David’s Daily Note – The end of the line

Posted by:  |  Time: 11:41 am  |  Topic:
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Daily Note – The end of the line

yellen4Summary

  • Looking ahead, from sunny Croatia
  • Fed approaching lift-off!
  • United States: Producer Prices accelerate in June

Good morning from sunny Croatia, where I am decamped for a few weeks.

There’s nothing like being on an island with no cars Continue Reading →

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Simple market really.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:24 am  |  Topic:
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Commentary:

The market is very stable in the last few sessions and very predictable. Sometimes the market view is just easy and little analysis is required. Indices are up, dollar up a bit, euro down and commodities down, that is it and it will require some news to change direction. Continue Reading →

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David’s Daily Note – Managing a giant Macau

Posted by:  |  Time: 1:17 pm  |  Topic:
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Daily Note – Managing a giant Macau

Frontpage_Macau-Buffet_2Summary

  • China: The ‘Chinese Dream’ under threat?
  • United States: Retail Sales slow in June
  • United Kingdom: A Mansion House moment?

 

Good morning,

China has been rumbling for a while now. Domestic stock markets have been taken on quite a Continue Reading →

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Still vulnerable to a Greek headline.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:40 am  |  Topic:
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Commentary:

Details on the Greek deal remain unresolved. Will they make the deal, who knows?  We are still subject to the possibility that it will stall. Market is trading a done deal and the price action is all positive with nothing priced in for a failure. Greek vote today, so Continue Reading →

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David’s Daily Note – Kicking the can, again!

Posted by:  |  Time: 12:21 pm  |  Topic:
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Daily Note – Kicking the can, again!

t-kick-the-can-down-the-roadSummary

  • Greece’s Capitulation
  • The deal nobody likes
  • The Euro: Falling from here

Good morning,

So, European leaders and their Greek counterparts have struck a deal, the product of weeks of suspense, intensive negotiations and the longest EU summit in history. Continue Reading →

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Done deal, moving on.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:36 am  |  Topic:
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Commentary:

Well it is likely we have a deal. I am not going into the details here, too complex, it will take about a month to put the whole thing together so we will be still seeing headlines for days to come. For the market it is not a story Continue Reading →

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David’s Daily Note – The big world beyond Greece

Posted by:  |  Time: 11:55 am  |  Topic:
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Daily Note – The big world beyond Greece

11692484-Globe-East-Asia-ballpoint-pen-and-notebook-A-globe-is-photoed-by-close-up--Stock-PhotoSummary

  • Thoughts on global equities
  • A rising sun in Japanese equities
  • Emerging Markets vulnerable
  • The Week Ahead: Back to the fundamentals

Good morning from sunny Dalmatia,

Who would have thought that the Greeks want to stay in the Euro Continue Reading →

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Still in limbo.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:21 am  |  Topic:
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Commentary:

We are still a bit away from an agreement as I write. There are going to be some difficult implementations for the Greeks if there is a deal but we have reached a point where the Euro Group are not releasing funds  unless the Greeks totally capitulate. Frankly some Continue Reading →

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