IIFT Daily Note with Peter Brown

Recent IIFT News About ‘Trading Views’


Looks all done and dusted.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:19 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 2
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

Thanks to all who participated and watched are webcast yesterday. The polling stations are open and the race is on. In reality the outcome looks done and dusted, look at GBP/USD we are up at 1.4800 already. So the question is how much is priced in or are Continue Reading →

It is a waiting game.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:27 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 1
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

We are doing a webcast today at 2pm to discuss Brexit here is the link. You will be able to submit questions which will be greatly appreciated.

Link for this is posted below….

Yesterday we more or less traded sideways on indices. The big movers were the Euro Continue Reading →

Market priced for a stay vote.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:28 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

We are all over the shop here but leaning towards a stay vote. The markets were buoyant yesterday as fears receded. The polls are still split but the market has decided they are staying. Either way we are still in hurricane mode and I still expect anything to Continue Reading →

All to play for still.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:27 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

We start this important week in bull mode after polls show that the referendum may vote to stay. The moves higher are amazing with the S&P now 40 handles up from the lows last week and GBP surging. This is what happens when you get hurricane markets. It Continue Reading →

Market takes a pause ahead of next week.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:30 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

We bounced yesterday and that is normal to be honest. The sise of the bounce, 300 points on the Dow was not expected and that is what you get when the market goes to hurricane mode. All the moves are exaggerated and it is hard to swing trade. Continue Reading →

This is getting serious.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:44 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

Wow! Janet is nervous about Brexit and will not raise rates. Janet is flip flopping from dovish to hawkish and it is not instilling confidence. Japan inaction drives the JPY higher and the stock market lower. Bonds yields are crashing down and the market looks like it is Continue Reading →

Brexit, oil and Janet

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:29 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 1
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

Well the Brexit vote has certainly sparked this market into life. It took a while but we are now in full blown speculation mode and as the polls become less clear of the outcome, tension is increasing. Indices, GBP and the Euro are getting hit. Combine that with Continue Reading →

Brexit to dominate.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:25 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

The market has now got Brexit fever that is for sure. A big sell off on European indices yesterday dominated price action. The vote is on the 23rd so we have a way to go yet and I expect the volatility to build. At this stage it Continue Reading →

The market is starting to look very nervous.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:06 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

The markets which early last week looked very solid are now in turmoil, Europe especially.  The DAX is down over 500 points in a week. Brexit and now the atrocity in Orlando are heightening fears. The JPY is benefiting from a safe haven status and the index markets Continue Reading →

Don’t leave Mario Alone !

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:32 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 1
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Good Morning

Very much as expected yesterday to be fair. The index markets are still buoyed by the rising oil price and FX is stable. A really good straddle on the NZD/USD was the highlight of the day with up to 75 points on offer there. This morning Draghi speaks Continue Reading →

Market Stays Solid

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:39 am  |  Topic:
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Good Morning

Not much happened yesterday, index markets maintained their bid tone and the dollar remained soft. The big mover was oil and we are now firmly above $50. This market overall is tricky as equities are very bullish, oil is well bid and the dollar is offered. Frankly all Continue Reading →

Long weekend ahead

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:46 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 2
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IIFT 2

Good Morning,

Not such an exciting day yesterday on the news front with very little coming from the ECB or OPEC in yesterdays meetings. Draghi stated that risk to growth outlook is still to the downside but with no changes to monetary policy as expected saw a lack of a catalyst Continue Reading →

Opec and Mario will keep this interesting.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:41 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 6
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

We have a very exciting day ahead. The OPEC meeting is always going to capture attention and any headline can jolt the market. We cannot anticipate what that may be, that is just the nature of it, too many participants and many opinions. So oil price volatility to Continue Reading →

Markets in limbo, for now.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:36 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 1
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

We have a lot going on this morning. First to japan and Abe has just announced delaying the countries sales tax. That upset the stock market and stops were triggered on USD/JPY. We were stopped out at a small loss there, more below.

Elsewhere there was good growth Continue Reading →

Steady market.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:39 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

With the bank holidays yesterday it was quiet an uneventful. Not much on the calendar again today so more or less the same levels. We are working our way towards the main event on Friday and the NFP number. A strong read there and the rate hike speculation Continue Reading →

The run to Janet on 15th June starts in earnest.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:47 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 3
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

Well we had a great day on Saturday at the Trader and Investor summit and thank you all for attending on such a beautiful day. We are heading into June and one of Janet Yellen’s biggest career decisions in mid-month. Will she or won’t she raise rates? The Continue Reading →

Has oil and the indices topped out here?

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:36 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

Now we have had a top out on the market. The rally ended and the market took a breather both on the indices and on oil. Is this the top? Well only a fool would try to guess that one but I am looking for the market to Continue Reading →

Will this rally stall?

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:36 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

We are in a pretty strange market to be honest. Speculation of two rate rises in the US now, June and July. The indices are roaring and the dollar is weaker. The overriding influencer this week is the oil price and we are flirting with $50. That is Continue Reading →

What a rally!

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:33 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

Well what a day we had yesterday. It is called an outside up day with little volume. We started with a cracking fade trade and then the market went into overdrive and did not stop. Good US data helped. It is hard to rationalise the sise of Continue Reading →

Summer markets, but good for day traders.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:33 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 3
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

We start this morning following a weak Asian session. Headlines on a Chinese bailout figure spooking the market but nothing concrete. It seems this market finds it hard to rally and easy to fall. The market is very short on stories and when and whether the US raise Continue Reading →