IIFT Daily Note with Peter Brown

Recent IIFT News About ‘Trading Views’


Bank holiday in the US

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:36 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

Today is a bank holiday in the US so trading conditions will be very quiet. We start on the front foot with the Index markets up overnight. The dollar is sideways but the Euro is back at 1.0600 after a ride higher last week.

Nothing on the calendar Continue Reading →

More of the same

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:41 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

More of the same yesterday really. The US market moved ahead and the DAX stayed steady. The dollar was the surprise as that lost some ground. Rumblings around the President and his appointees mostly likely caused that. All in all the market is waiting for something concrete to Continue Reading →

Janet said it best

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:37 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 2
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

Well another day of US rallies although we had a bit of a correction early on. The market in the end could not resist rallying and the best explanation came from Janet herself;

“I think market participants likely are anticipating shifts in fiscal policy that will stimulate growth Continue Reading →

Janet signals a rate rise.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:41 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 2
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

Well yesterday was all about Janet Yellen and that makes a big change. She was hawkish and that means a likely rate rise in March. The dollar loved that. Stocks initially sold off but rallied late on. A rate rise is a mixed event for the stock market. Continue Reading →

Steady market

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:33 am  |  Topic:  |  Comments: 3
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

The Trump trade continues unabated. A tricky day for swing traders yesterday as the DAX failed to reverse. That is an unusual event and came as a surprise given there was no new news. We are riding the Trump hope train and there does not seem an end Continue Reading →

Probably a quiet start to the week.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:31 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

The Trump rally continues and dominates all market thinking. A nice bit of bonding between the US and Japan also when both presidents met and the Asian markets are up. You cannot buck this trend or predict when it will end to be honest. We just have to Continue Reading →

Trump stirs it up

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:27 am  |  Topic:
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iift-email

Good Morning

Trump’s comments Thursday at a White House that he would make an “phenomenal” announcement over taxes in the coming weeks drove the markets into a buying frenzy. Dollar and US indices are through the roof. I suppose that is a lesson for the year; the market can look Continue Reading →

Very calm in reality.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:37 am  |  Topic:
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IIFT 2

Good Morning

The theme is the same this morning so softer Europe and flat US. The market put in a good bounce first thing yesterday on the DAX but sold off later. The market is not going in any solid direction so swing trades are working really well.

On FX Continue Reading →

Greece is back, we missed you!

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:39 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

We are still not going anywhere on these indices. It is hard to get the daily sentiment call right because when we look like we are falling we bounce and vice versa. The US has gone a bit quiet; the action is in Europe both politically and guess Continue Reading →

Politics and central bankers.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:41 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

We have a lot going on all of a sudden. Political uncertainties in Europe and the US, especially around Merkel and Le Penn. Draghi coming out yesterday and re-affirming commitment to his QE programme, trouble with Italian banks and Trump tweets.

The market is awash with stories and Continue Reading →

Good jobs data and no inflation.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:36 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

Markets are opening with Fridays gains. It was not so much the big headline NFP number that is driving the market higher as the low average earnings number. This number is a sign of benign inflation which means no rate raise in March, which means the stock market Continue Reading →

NFP Today.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:37 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

After a very quiet directionless day yesterday we have NFP today. We are expecting 167 k and it will cause some market movement but unless we miss by a lot we are going to end the week with another quiet day. The macro view here is flat and Continue Reading →

This rally on the dollar and stocks looks tired.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:43 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

Markets opening on the back foot this morning with stocks and the dollar lower. There is nothing in particular just hard to keep the rally going. The FED overnight where very much in wait and see mode and that describes the market in general.

Today we have the Continue Reading →

Trump headlines again

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:20 am  |  Topic:
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iift-email

Good Morning

Market has stalled.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:34 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

The weekend’s antics and last night’s firing of the Attorney General has just about burst the Trump rally. The market is getting nervous as to what he may do next. I have described him as a bull in a china shop and that about sums him up. Markets Continue Reading →

Trump headlines continue to dominate.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:40 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

All stories are dominated by Trump again this morning. It is having an effect on markets and we are down a bit this from Friday’s close. The DOW is looking to re-test 20,000 again but this time from the upside. We cannot get away from this man and Continue Reading →

Trump headlines still dominate.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:35 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

There is a lot going on in these markets and most of it relates to Trump’s first week in office. The Mexican issue is on-going and deteriorating. Theresa May is meeting him today and god knows what will come from that. We are in a Trump rally and Continue Reading →

20,000 Leagues Above the Sea

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:32 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning,

Niall writing here for Peter this morning as he continues his interviews about what he would do with $88M…. sadly he did not win so he will be back posting tomorrow.

So the big headline has finally been printed. The Trump rally continues and current best friend, Mr Dow Continue Reading →

They like Trump so far.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:45 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

Markets are higher on the back of the Trump show yesterday. It is amazing that we are seeing inside the Oval Office like it was a reality TV event. But that is what we have, a reality TV star as president of the US. We have to get Continue Reading →

Trump uncertainty dominates.

Posted by:  |  Time: 7:33 am  |  Topic:
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A IIFT 2

Good Morning

The Trump inauguration speech has done nothing to calm fears on the market. Basically nobody knows what he is going to do and that is causing unease especially on trade and foreign policy. Dollar is lower as are stocks and safe haven plays like the JPY, Gold and Continue Reading →